For a person who is going all out to come to power, that too fighting against the mighty power, every step he takes has to be calculated and intelligent.
While focussing on the mighty enemy, one cannot afford to ignore other factors that might affect his winning chances even to a marginal extent.
But YSR Congress party president Y S Jaganmohan Reddy does not seem to have learnt lessons from his debacle in 2014 elections, in which newly-formed Jana Sena Party floated by power star Pawan Kalyan played a smaller but very important role in bringing the Telugu Desam Party to power.
Those days, Jagan had completely ignored Pawan Kalyan factor. But in the two Godavari districts where the Kapu factor is predominant, he made all the difference.
This time too, Jagan appears to be ignoring Pawan Kalyan. In an informal chat with the media, he is learnt to have commented that Jana Sena would be an insignificant factor in the next elections and the fight would be only between the YSRC and the TDP.
“And I am going to come to power and this is certain,” Jagan told the media.
Well, it is good that Jagan is brimming with optimism, but one wonders whether it is right strategy to ignore Jana Sena Party completely.
All said and done, Pawan is making a gradual entry into politics and one should not be surprised, if he comes like a big wave creating a major impact at least in parts of Andhra Pradesh.
Whether he has a secret understanding with the TDP or fights independently – in both the ways, it would hit the YSRC chances badly.
So, Jagan has to work out strategies to neutralise the impact of Pawan Kalyan. For that matter, he should not ignore even the Congress party. If Jagan remains complacent, he may have to end up with disappointment once again.