Even as the Aam Aadmi Party is trying to make inroads in the state and build its cadre here, discussions are already on as to who would lose out most when the party gains momentum here.
There are different versions as to how it would impact our state if it remains united and how it would affect it if the bifurcation happens.
In 2009, when there was a direct face off between the Congress and the TDP, Lok Satta and Praja Rajyam entered the political arena. During that time there was a huge debate about Praja Rajyam being voted to power. Once, it was clear that it did not have the potential, the focus shifted to who would be affected most by its emergence.
As for Aam Aadmi Party, it hasn’t started its operations in the state as yet. In places like Hyderabad and Vijayawada, a few people have started mobilizing people on a small scale to join the party.
Given this background, it is being said that Palem Srikant Reddy who heads the technical experts wing in the TDP is contemplating to join AAP. In fact, he has made statements to this affect.
There is also talk that Lok Satta chief Jaya Prakash Narayan will also look after the party matters in the state. Similarly, ex CBI officer Lakshmi Narayana is also likely to join AAP. However, this is yet to be confirmed.
It is still early to gauge the impact the party will have in the state and who they will inspire to join their party. However, given the recent developments in New Delhi, the party might attract the educated voters here.
So, it is being felt that the major loser given such a scenario would be the TDP. During the last elections, it was seen that the TDP was the most affected by Praja Rajyam and the Congress was the least affected. TDP had to bear the brunt of Lok Satta too, which was disclosed by its leaders after the polls.
Similarly, right now, a TDP leader is all set to join AAP. Though TDP head Chandra Babu Naidu has been reiterating that he is fighting against corruption, AAP has emerged as a party that has the potential to fight corruption. So, those with similar ideologies are bound to drift towards AAP.
In Seemandhra, the Congress is likely to suffer a setback. So the anti-incumbency votes are likely to be split between YSRCP and the TDP. However, if TDP has a tie-up with AAP, it is likely to gain. But that is highly unlikely.
If AAP takes a clear stand against corruption and manages to influence the voters, then, it will make more damage to YSRCP than the TDP.
On the other hand, if the formation of Telangana, Seemandhra sentiments and YSR schemes impact the voters, then the poll results are likely to totally different. If that happens, AAP may not have much impact in the state.
