Epaper
Not many, probably not even Vijay himself, would have believed he could secure such a sweeping majority.
Yet one media outlet, India Today, boldly aired the exit poll numbers from Pradeep Gupta of Axis My India, figures that many initially dismissed as unrealistic.
Gupta had predicted that Vijay’s TVK would win between 90 and 120 seats, a forecast that seemed exaggerated at the time but has now proven accurate.
The Tamil Nadu election results have since been described as a “victory of data science,” highlighting the growing credibility of sophisticated polling methods when executed well. However, Gupta also clarified why Axis My India chose not to conduct exit polls in West Bengal.
He explained that nearly 70–80% of voters, especially women across rural and urban areas, declined to share their choices, making it impossible to obtain a representative sample.
Additionally, concerns about past violence against surveyors further complicated the process. Gupta emphasized that without reliable data, any projection would lack credibility.
Pradeep Gupta once again stressed that reliable data is the core ingredient for accurate exit poll prediction.
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