For the last few days, power star and Jana Sena Party president Pawan Kalyan has been going aggressively with his political moves, creating an impression that he is now a serious politician and not a part-time politician, an impression which he had got in the past.
Pawan started off his Jana Porata Yatra from Itchapuram in Srikakulam district and has been meeting a cross section of people to understand their problems. At the same time, he has been building up the party network.
The Jana Sena Porata Yatra, a mix of road shows, padayatras (walkathon) and public meetings, will continue for 17 days in the north Andhra districts and will cover entire State in another 28 days.
However, political analysts say Pawan is a bit too ambitious in his plan.
“Had he started this kind of aggressive politicking at least a year back, he would have gained a lot of strength across the length and breadth of the state. But now, the time is very less. If he wants to cover the entire state, it would be very difficult for him and he would not be able to achieve success everywhere,” an analyst said.
According to him, instead of trying to conquer the entire state, Pawan should first focus on establishing his hold in a few pockets in Andhra, where he can yield considerable influence.
“In this regard, he should take a leaf out of Janata Dal (Secular) strategy in Karnataka. Though the party contests all the seats in Karnataka, for the last two decades, JD (S) consolidated its position only a few pockets like Mandya, Mysore and parts of western and central Karnataka. It has been consistently winning its seats only these pockets,” the analyst pointed out.
In the recent elections, JD (S) lost deposits in 148 seats out of 222 assembly seats it contested.
“It could not get even 5,000 votes in these constituencies. On the other hand, it won all the 38 seats in its strongholds, wherein it had got huge majority and emerged as a king maker. Now, with the changed scenario, JD (S) leader Kumaraswamy is emerging as a king,” he said.
Pawan should follow the same strategy. It should identify the constituencies where it is strong, particularly in Visakhapatnam, East Godavari, West Godavari, Krishna and Guntur districts, and concentrate on winning those seats.
“If he wins a good number of seats in these districts, he can emerge as a king maker. He can later focus on conquering other areas by 2024. But if Pawan thinks he can win majority of 175 assembly seats, he will lose everywhere and the splitting of votes would only help the ruling TDP,” he argued.